Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

Lean Baltimore in a near coin flip, with the home setting and recent relief performance just tipping the balance. Toronto has a meaningful pitching counter: Dylan Cease leads its staff with a 2.40 ERA and 239 strikeouts, giving the Blue Jays a high-end path to control the game. They also won two of three against Baltimore earlier this month. The Orioles, however, have pitched effectively at home, with a 3.71 ERA and 1.27 WHIP, and their bullpen has a 2.63 ERA over the past 28 days. Baltimore took the most recent meeting 4-3, and its home advantage may matter most if the game is close late. This is only a slight Orioles preference rather than a firm separation.