St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee is the stronger side at American Family Field. The Brewers are 100-59, including 52-25 at home, and have scored 5.13 runs per game while allowing 3.82. St. Louis is 77-82 and has gone 2-4 over its last six, scoring 2.83 runs per game and allowing 4.17. Milwaukee also leads the season series 8-2. Robert Gasser has a 1.71 ERA over his last four starts, giving the home side a steadier recent pitching look. That recent run prevention stands out against a Cardinals offense that has been held down over the last week. St. Louis can compete in a single game, especially if the starter works deep, but the gap in record, home results, series play, and current form favors Milwaukee.