Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

San Diego is the lean in a close matchup, with recent form and the bullpen creating separation. The Padres have won six of their last seven and are averaging 7.14 runs per game during that stretch, while Miami is 3-3 over its last six and has allowed 5.33 runs per game. The probable starter matchup is more balanced than the team records suggest: Sandy Alcantara owns the stronger season line at 3.84 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, but he has posted a 6.35 ERA and 1.55 WHIP across his last five starts. Walker Buehler’s last-five-start sample is better at a 3.52 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. San Diego’s recent bullpen ERA of 3.23 also compares favorably with Miami’s 4.90.