New York Mets vs Texas Rangers

New York gets a slight lean on the mound: Nolan McLean’s season 3.18 ERA and 189 strikeouts compare favorably with Cody Bradford’s 4.19 ERA, 20 strikeouts and 1.50 WHIP. Texas’ home setting and offense there keep this close; the Rangers have a .716 OPS at Globe Life Field. The Mets’ relief group has been more effective lately, with a 4.13 ERA over the past 28 days compared with 5.18 for Texas, an advantage if the game remains close after the starters exit. Texas can still benefit from playing at home, but McLean’s stronger run prevention and New York’s better recent bullpen form tilt the full-game outlook slightly toward the Mets.