Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

The Yankees are the preferred side at Yankee Stadium, though Baltimore's probable starter keeps this from a mismatch. New York is 92-67 and has won eight of ten meetings with the Orioles. Team pitching is the separator, with a 3.20 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Over the last 28 days the Yankees are 17-9 and have scored 5.19 runs per game, even with Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Trent Grisham sidelined. Baltimore is 78-81 and even on the road, going 13-12 over its last 28 days. Trevor Rogers has a 4.07 season ERA but a 2.57 ERA and 0.86 WHIP across four recent starts. Brendan Beck's 8.22 ERA and New York's short rest after Thursday narrow the margin. Home form and season-long run prevention still favor the Yankees in a competitive game.