Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins

Texas has a narrow edge behind Jacob deGrom in a late-season game between losing clubs. deGrom owns a 2.22 ERA and 0.71 WHIP over five recent starts, including six scoreless innings with 12 strikeouts on the road, while Joe Ryan has a 5.54 ERA and 1.54 WHIP across his last three outings. That pitching gap matters more than the clubs' similar season ERAs near 3.85. Minnesota still brings real offsets at Target Field: a 40-37 home record, a 4.17 home ERA, a 4-2 stretch allowing 2.5 runs per game, and a season-series sweep. Brooks Lee and Walker Jenkins have been hot, though Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach are unavailable. Texas is only 34-44 away with a 4.93 road ERA, and Corey Seager is 3-for-25 over the last week. deGrom must outweigh those problems in a game that stays close.