Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

The Yankees have the stronger starting-pitching matchup at home. Cam Schlittler is listed as their probable starter with a 1.94 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 234 strikeouts; Tampa Bay’s Ian Seymour is listed with a 4.38 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. That gap gives New York a better chance to control the early innings. The advantage is not decisive, though: Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Trent Grisham are on the injured list, limiting the Yankees’ offensive depth. Tampa Bay has won 17 of its last 25 games, and its relievers have recorded a 3.22 ERA over the last 28 days, giving the Rays a route back if Seymour keeps the score close. Even accounting for Tampa Bay’s form and New York’s absences, Schlittler’s edge makes the Yankees the more likely full-game winner.