Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Final

MLB

BOS Team page

0 — 9

NYY Team page

DateSeptember 29, 2026

VenueYankee Stadium

BOS 39%

NYY 61%

Pick rating 🥇

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

NYY 61%

Moneyline-140

Profit $100$71.43

EV+4.57%

Outcome lead5.50

LeaderScore10.07

New York merits a moderate edge, with home field and Cam Schlittler’s 1.95 ERA and 239 strikeouts making the expected starter a major advantage. Boston counters with Payton Tolle, who recently allowed two earned runs over 5⅔ innings against Cleveland, a solid outing that keeps this from being a one-sided pitching matchup. The Yankees also have a substantial availability concern: Aaron Judge is on the 10-day injured list, and Giancarlo Stanton is listed on the 60-day IL, which could limit their lineup’s ceiling. Still, Schlittler’s exceptional season performance gives New York the clearest individual edge, and the home setting adds support. Boston has a credible path if Tolle keeps the game close, but the overall balance favors the Yankees in a competitive postseason opener.

Team Form

Last 10 · latest first

Boston Red Sox

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New York Yankees

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Key Stats

2026 season · Team stats

Boston Red Sox

.245

AVG

.319

OBP

.717

OPS

163

3.54

ERA

1.23

WHIP

4.25

R/G

8.7

K/9

New York Yankees

.235

AVG

.311

OBP

.720

OPS

223

3.24

ERA

1.17

WHIP

4.59

R/G

9.1

K/9

Key Players

Boston Red Sox

.901OPS

.773OPS

.761OPS

1.95ERA

New York Yankees

.897OPS

.831OPS

.768OPS

2.54ERA

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Total
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
NYY	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	5	—	9

Team stats

BOS Stat NYY

0 R 9

3 H 12

0 E 0

0 HR 2

1 BB 5

11 SO 4

5 LOB 17

0 SB 0

9 ER 0

0 DP 0

BOS

Boston Red Sox

Batting

Boston Red Sox Batting
Player	H-AB	AB	H	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
Roman Anthony DH Starter	0-2	2	0	0	2	10	.000	.000	.000
Adley Rutschman C Starter	1-4	4	1	0	2	27	.250	.250	.250
Willson Contreras 1B Starter	0-4	4	0	0	3	16	.000	.000	.000
Wilyer Abreu RF Starter	1-3	3	1	0	1	13	.333	.333	.333
Ceddanne Rafaela CF Starter	0-3	3	0	0	0	13	.000	.000	.000
Nick Sogard 2B Starter	0-3	3	0	0	0	16	.000	.000	.000
Jarren Duran LF Starter	0-2	2	0	1	1	16	.000	.333	.000
Trevor Story SS Starter	1-3	3	1	0	1	13	.333	.333	.667
Caleb Durbin 3B Starter	0-3	3	0	0	0	14	.000	.000	.000
Andruw Monasterio DH	0-2	2	0	0	1	8	.000	.000	.000

Pitching

Boston Red Sox Pitching
Player	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
Payton Tolle P Starter	4.2	5	1	1	1	4	0	83-58	1.93	83
Erik Miller P	0.1	2	1	1	0	0	1	9-7	27.00	9
Greg Weissert P	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15-10	0.00	15
Alec Gamboa P	0.0	3	2	2	1	0	0	15-10	INF	15
Wyatt Olds P	1.1	1	3	3	2	0	0	18-6	20.25	18
Brayan Bello P	0.2	1	2	2	1	0	1	21-9	27.00	21

NYY

New York Yankees

Batting

New York Yankees Batting
Player	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
Paul Goldschmidt 1B Starter	0-3	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	25	.000	.400	.000
Ben Rice DH Starter	4-5	5	2	4	6	2	0	1	21	.800	.800	2.200
Heliot Ramos RF Starter	0-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	.000	.000	.000
Cody Bellinger LF Starter	1-4	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	16	.250	.250	.250
George Lombard Jr. SS Starter	3-4	4	2	3	0	0	0	0	21	.750	.750	.750
Amed Rosario 3B Starter	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	10	.000	.500	.000
Anthony Volpe 2B Starter	1-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	11	.333	.333	.333
Spencer Jones RF Starter	1-3	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	15	.333	.500	.333
Austin Wells C Starter	2-3	3	1	2	2	0	0	0	14	.667	.500	.667
Luis Garcia Jr. PH	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000
Trent Grisham CF	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	.000	.000	.000
Ryan McMahon 3B	0-1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	11	.000	.500	.000

Pitching

New York Yankees Pitching
Player	IP	H	BB	K	PC-ST	PC
Cam Schlittler P Starter	6.1	2	1	10	117-77	117
Paul Blackburn P	1.2	1	0	0	18-11	18
John Schreiber P	1.0	0	0	1	11-7	11

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees

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