Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants

Minnesota has the better starting-pitching profile: Taj Bradley owns a 3.81 season ERA with 199 strikeouts and a 3.41 ERA across his last five starts, while Anthony Molina’s last four starts produced a 4.82 ERA. The Twins also hold the stronger 2026 record, 73-84 versus 65-92, and have scored more runs per game, 4.55 to 4.21. San Francisco’s counterweight is substantial: Oracle Park and a 37-39 home record compare favorably with Minnesota’s 33-46 road mark, while the Giants’ recent bullpen ERA is slightly better. San Francisco won the opener 5-2, but Jung Hoo Lee’s placement on the injured list weakens an already inconsistent lineup. With both teams playing on consecutive days, relief availability matters. Bradley gives Minnesota a narrow full-game edge, but home field and bullpen balance make this a close, no-edge contest.