Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros

Final

MLB

CHW Team page

6 — 3

HOU Team page

DateSeptember 29, 2026

VenueDaikin Park

CHW 48%

HOU 52%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

HOU 52%

Moneyline-123

Profit $100$81.30

EV-5.72%

Outcome lead1.00

LeaderScore-4.72

Houston gets a narrow home-field lean, but this is close. The Astros took five of seven regular-season meetings, and their offense showed power over the full season, with 226 home runs and a .733 OPS. Chicago brings a strong 84-78 record and a 4.12 team ERA, making it a credible road threat. The White Sox pitching gives them a plausible route to keep the game tight, particularly if they contain Houston’s power. At Daikin Park, the home setting and prior series edge offer Houston useful tiebreakers, though Chicago’s season-long results argue against a large separation. Expect a competitive game, with Houston’s home setting and offense providing only a slight advantage.

Team Form

Last 10 · latest first

Chicago White Sox

WLWWLWWWLW

Houston Astros

WWLWLWLLLW

Key Stats

2026 season · Team stats

Chicago White Sox

.236

AVG

.320

OBP

.726

OPS

211

4.12

ERA

1.31

WHIP

4.79

R/G

8.4

K/9

Houston Astros

.242

AVG

.315

OBP

.733

OPS

226

4.45

ERA

1.34

WHIP

4.53

R/G

8.8

K/9

Key Players

Chicago White Sox

.837OPS

.825OPS

.685OPS

2.25ERA

Houston Astros

1.033OPS

.806OPS

.727OPS

0.83ERA

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Total
CHW	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	6
HOU	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	3

Team stats

CHW Stat HOU

6 R 3

11 H 6

1 E 1

1 HR 1

4 BB 2

8 SO 7

20 LOB 14

0 SB 0

2 ER 5

0 DP 0

CHW