New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks

The lean is NYY in a close full-game matchup. New York’s probable starter Will Warren has been excellent recently, posting a 1.52 ERA and 1.23 WHIP across four starts in the past 28 days, while Arizona’s probable Corbin Burnes has a 5.87 ERA over his last two starts. The Yankees also enter with stronger short-term form: 4-2 over their last seven completed games, scoring 5.67 runs per game and allowing 2.67. Arizona is 2-4 in that span and has allowed 5.67 per game, though its relief corps has a strong 2.73 ERA over the last 28 days. That bullpen edge and home setting make the Diamondbacks dangerous, but Warren and New York’s recent results support a modest NYY advantage.