Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union

Final

MLS

ORL Team page

2 — 4

PHI Team page

DateSeptember 26, 2026

VenueSubaru Park

ORL 20%

PHI 58%

Draw 22%

Pick rating

Pregame Pick % estimates the selected outcome's chance. Moneyline is its last available pregame price.

Profit $100 is net profit on a winning $100 stake. EV is the expected net return per $100 from that probability and price; positive EV means a favorable price relative to the pick.

Reliability adds 0–15 points as probability rises. LeaderScore is EV% plus Reliability; higher scores rank first.

🥇 means at least 55% probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

PHI 58%

Moneyline-195

Profit $100$51.28

EV-12.26%

Reliability4.00

LeaderScore-8.26

Philadelphia is the stronger 90-minute lean, with home advantage and a major recent surge: the Union have won five straight, scoring 3.8 goals per game while allowing 0.8 over that span. Their season attack has also been productive at 1.92 goals per match. Orlando arrives in decent scoring form and has shown it can trouble Philadelphia, winning their May meeting 4-3, so the visitors should not be dismissed. Still, Orlando's away record is only 3-8-2, making it hard to trust the visitors to contain a confident Union attack at Subaru Park. A draw remains plausible given Philadelphia's uneven overall home record, but the home side has the clearest edge.

Team Form

Last 10 · latest first

Orlando City SC

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Philadelphia Union

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Key Players

Orlando City SC

Philadelphia Union

Boxscore

Team stats

ORL Stat PHI

13 Fouls 19

4 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

1 Offsides 5

7 Corner Kicks 7

5 Saves 0

64.4 Possession 35.6

11 SHOTS 20

2 ON GOAL 9

0.2 On Target % 0.5

0 Penalty Goals 0

0 Penalty Kicks Taken 1

478 Accurate Passes 228

576 Passes 308

0.8 Pass Completion % 0.7

3 Accurate Crosses 5

16 Crosses 21

0.2 Cross % 0.2

63 Long Balls 59

41 Accurate Long Balls 19

0.7 Long Balls % 0.3

4 Blocked Shots 7

10 Effective Tackles 17

20 Tackles 23

0.5 Tackle % 0.7

8 Interceptions 20

23 Effective Clearances 26

23 Clearances 26

ORL

Orlando City SC

Lineup & match stats

Orlando City SC Lineup & match stats
Player	G	A	SHOT	SOG	FC	YC	SV	GA	APP
Maxime Crépeau G Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	4	1
Robin Jansson CD-L Starter	0	0	0	0	1	0		4	1
Iago Teodoro CD-R Starter	0	0	0	0	2	1		4	1
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves LB Starter	0	0	1	0	1	0		4	1
Zakaria Taifi RB Starter	0	0	0	0	1	0		4	1
Joran Gerbet CM-L Starter	0	0	0	0	1	1		4	1
Eduard Atuesta CM-R Starter	0	0	0	0	3	1		4	1
Daryl Dike CF-L Starter	0	0	1	0	2	0		4	1
Antoine Griezmann CF-R Starter	0	1	3	0	0	0		4	1
Iván Angulo AM-L Starter	1	0	1	1	1	1		4	1
Martín Ojeda AM-R Starter	1	0	4	1	0	0		4	1
Nolan Miller SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Tiago SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	1
Vinícius Nogueira SUB	0	0	1	0	0	0		0	1
Adrián Marín SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Harvey Sarajian SUB	0	1	0	0	1	0		0	1
Gustavo Caraballo SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Javier Otero SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Hylton SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Luis Otávio SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	1

PHI

Philadelphia Union

Lineup & match stats

Philadelphia Union Lineup & match stats
Player	G	A	SHOT	SOG	FC	YC	SV	GA	APP
Andrew Rick G Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1
Nathan Harriel CD-L Starter	0	0	1	0	0	0		2	1
Japhet Sery CD-R Starter	0	0	0	0	1	1		2	1
Kai Wagner LB Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0		2	1
Ben Bender RB Starter	0	0	0	0	3	0		2	1
Jovan Lukic CM-L Starter	0	0	1	0	2	0		2	1
Jesús Bueno CM-R Starter	0	1	1	0	1	0		2	1
Indiana Vassilev LM Starter	1	2	3	2	1	0		1	1
Quinn Sullivan RM Starter	0	0	3	2	1	1		1	1
Bruno Damiani CF-L Starter	0	0	1	0	4	0		1	1
Milan Iloski CF-R Starter	3	0	6	3	2	0		1	1
Geiner Martínez SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Jordan Griffin SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	1
Ezekiel Alladoh SUB	0	0	3	2	0	0		1	1
Rafael Uzcátegui SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
George Marks SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Finn Sundstrom SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Jeremy Rafanello SUB	0	0	0	0	1	0		1	1
Augustin Anello SUB	0	0	0	0	1	0		1	1
Alejandro Bedoya SUB	0	0	1	0	2	0		1	1