Toronto FC vs Nashville SC

Final

MLS

TOR Team page

0 — 2

NSH Team page

DateSeptember 26, 2026

VenueGEODIS Park

TOR 16%

NSH 64%

Draw 20%

Pick rating

Pregame Pick % estimates the selected outcome's chance. Moneyline is its last available pregame price.

Profit $100 is net profit on a winning $100 stake. EV is the expected net return per $100 from that probability and price; positive EV means a favorable price relative to the pick.

Reliability adds 0–15 points as probability rises. LeaderScore is EV% plus Reliability; higher scores rank first.

🥇 means at least 55% probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

NSH 64%

Moneyline-250

Profit $100$40.00

EV-10.40%

Reliability7.00

LeaderScore-3.40

Nashville is the clear lean at GEODIS Park. Its 2026 league profile is outstanding: 17 wins in 26, a +32 goal difference, 2.04 goals scored per game and just 0.81 conceded; at home it has gone 12-0-1. Toronto has enough threat to make this competitive, and it beat Nashville 2-1 in the Sept. 9 meeting, but its away record is 2-7-3 and its season defense has allowed 1.88 per game. Its latest two away outings ended in 1-3 and 0-3 defeats. A more disciplined Toronto display could keep the score close, yet Nashville's home consistency and stronger overall balance make a home win likelier than either a draw or another upset.

Team Form

Last 10 · latest first

Toronto FC

LLWDDWDWDL

Nashville SC

WDLDWWWWDL

Key Players

Toronto FC

Nashville SC

Boxscore

Team stats

TOR Stat NSH

9 Fouls 12

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

0 Offsides 5

3 Corner Kicks 9

9 Saves 3

38.5 Possession 61.5

11 SHOTS 23

3 ON GOAL 11

0.3 On Target % 0.5

0 Penalty Goals 0

0 Penalty Kicks Taken 0

228 Accurate Passes 442

316 Passes 509

0.7 Pass Completion % 0.9

4 Accurate Crosses 8

11 Crosses 20

0.4 Cross % 0.4

51 Long Balls 79

17 Accurate Long Balls 53

0.3 Long Balls % 0.7

5 Blocked Shots 5

9 Effective Tackles 8

10 Tackles 14

0.9 Tackle % 0.6

9 Interceptions 9

13 Effective Clearances 20

13 Clearances 20

TOR

Toronto FC

Lineup & match stats

Toronto FC Lineup & match stats
Player	SHOT	SOG	FC	SV	GA	APP
Luka Gavran G Starter	0	0	0	9	2	1
Nickseon Gomis CD-L Starter	0	0	0		2	1
Zane Monlouis CD-R Starter	0	0	1		2	1
Matheus Pereira LB Starter	1	0	1		2	1
Jackson Gilman RB Starter	1	0	1		2	1
Niklas Dorsch CM-L Starter	0	0	2		2	1
Jonathan Osorio CM-R Starter	2	1	0		2	1
Dániel Sallói LM Starter	3	0	0		2	1
Theo Corbeanu RM Starter	3	1	0		2	1
Josh Sargent CF-L Starter	1	1	1		2	1
Lewis Morgan CF-R Starter	0	0	1		2	1
William Yarbrough SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0
Emilio Aristizábal SUB	0	0	0		0	1
Alonso Coello SUB	0	0	0		0	1
Raheem Edwards SUB	0	0	0		0	0
Kobe Franklin SUB	0	0	1		0	1
Alejandro Piedrahita SUB	0	0	1		0	1
Lazar Stefanovic SUB	0	0	0		0	0
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint SUB	0	0	0		0	0
Derrick Etienne Jr. SUB	0	0	0		0	1

NSH

Nashville SC

Lineup & match stats

Nashville SC Lineup & match stats
Player	G	A	SHOT	SOG	FC	YC	SV	APP
Joe Willis G Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1
Maxwell Woledzi CD-L Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0		1
Jeisson Palacios CD-R Starter	0	0	1	1	1	0		1
Reed Baker-Whiting LB Starter	0	0	2	2	1	0		1
Andy Nájar RB Starter	0	0	2	0	1	0		1
Hany Mukhtar AM Starter	2	0	5	2	1	0		1
Matthew Corcoran LM Starter	0	0	1	1	2	0		1
Edvard Tagseth RM Starter	0	0	1	0	1	0		1
Sam Surridge F Starter	0	1	5	3	0	1		1
Elias Saad AM-L Starter	0	0	2	1	1	0		1
Cristian Espinoza AM-R Starter	0	1	3	1	1	0		1
Alex Muyl SUB	0	0	0	0	1	0		1
Josh Bauer SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		1
Jack Maher SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
Bryan Acosta SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		1
Shakur Mohammed SUB	0	0	1	0	2	0		1
Jordan Knight SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
Daniel Lovitz SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
William Mackay SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Owen Presthus SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0