Vancouver Whitecaps vs Chicago Fire FC

Final

MLS

VAN Team page

1 — 3

CHI Team page

DateOctober 6, 2026

VenueSoldier Field

VAN 45%

CHI 27%

Draw 28%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

VAN 45%

Moneyline+115

Profit $100$115.00

EV-3.25%

Outcome lead4.25

LeaderScore1.00

Vancouver has the stronger case on the season profile, having scored 25 and conceded 14 in 12 league matches; Chicago has scored 19 and allowed 22. Vancouver’s attack has been particularly productive lately: Brian White scored four times in four recent matches, while Thomas Müller added two goals and two assists in three. Chicago’s latest four-match stretch yielded only three goals and one win, though Maren Haile-Selassie and Robert Lewandowski remain threats after strong output across the prior eight weeks. Soldier Field gives Chicago home advantage, and its attack has enough quality to keep this close. Still, Vancouver’s higher scoring rate and tighter defense give it the likelier win in a competitive match.

Team Form

2026 · Recent Games · Regular Season

Vancouver Whitecaps

L D W L W L W W L W

Chicago Fire FC

W W L L D D D D W W

Key Stats

2026 · Regular Season

Vancouver Whitecaps

GOALS/G

1.31

GA/G

17.31

SHOTS/G

5.69

SOT/G

32.9%

SHOT ACCURACY%

58.0%

POSSESSION %

86.2%

PASS %

6.62

CORNERS/G

Chicago Fire FC

These stats describe 2026 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

GOALS/G
Goals scored per game over 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Higher means more scoring.

GA/G
Goals allowed per game over 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Lower means fewer goals conceded.

SHOTS/G
Shots per game across the full match, including extra time when played. Higher means more shooting volume.

SOT/G
Shots on target per game across the full match, including extra time when played. Higher means more attempts on target.

SHOT ACCURACY%
Shots on target divided by total shots across the full match. Higher means more accurate shooting.

POSSESSION %
Average possession percentage across full matches. Above 50% means more possession than opponents on average; it does not by itself mean better chances.

PASS %
Completed passes divided by attempted passes across full matches. Higher means more accurate passing.

CORNERS/G
Corner kicks per game across full matches. Higher means more corner opportunities.

1.69

GOALS/G

1.77

GA/G

13.77

SHOTS/G

5.31

SOT/G

38.5%

SHOT ACCURACY%

49.8%

POSSESSION %

85.8%

PASS %

4.15

CORNERS/G

Season Context

2026 · Regular Season

Vancouver Whitecaps

2.08

Shot Differential

86.2%

Pass Completion %

Chicago Fire FC

These measures describe 2026 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

Shot Differential
Shots on target minus opponents’ shots on target per game. Positive means more shots on target.

Pass Completion %
Accurate passes as a share of all passes. Higher means more completed passes.

1.23

Shot Differential

85.8%

Pass Completion %

Key Players

2026 · Regular Season

Vancouver Whitecaps

Chicago Fire FC

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	1H	2H	Total
VAN	0	1	1
CHI	1	2	3

Team stats

VAN Stat CHI

11 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

5 Offsides 3

8 Corner Kicks 2

3 Saves 1

51.9 Possession 48.1

15 SHOTS 22

2 ON GOAL 7

0.1 On Target % 0.3

0 Penalty Goals 0

0 Penalty Kicks Taken 1

371 Accurate Passes 360

469 Passes 447

0.8 Pass Completion % 0.8

8 Accurate Crosses 3

24 Crosses 9

0.3 Cross % 0.3

58 Long Balls 58

25 Accurate Long Balls 24

0.4 Long Balls % 0.4

7 Blocked Shots 6

13 Effective Tackles 11

24 Tackles 25

0.5 Tackle % 0.4

11 Interceptions 14

25 Effective Clearances 36

25 Clearances 36

VAN

Vancouver Whitecaps

Lineup & match stats

Vancouver Whitecaps Lineup & match stats
Player	G	A	SHOT	SOG	FC	YC	SV	GA	APP
Yohei Takaoka G Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	1
Tristan Blackmon CD-L Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0		3	1
Mathías Laborda CD-R Starter	1	0	3	1	2	0		3	1
Tate Johnson LB Starter	0	0	0	0	1	1		2	1
Rui Modesto RB Starter	0	0	1	0	1	0		3	1
Ryan Gauld AM Starter	0	0	1	0	0	0		3	1
Aleksa Cvetković LM Starter	0	0	1	0	1	0		1	1
Oliver Larraz RM Starter	0	1	0	0	2	0		3	1
Brian White F Starter	0	0	4	0	1	0		3	1
Emmanuel Sabbi AM-L Starter	0	0	0	0	2	0		2	1
Cheick Sabaly AM-R Starter	0	0	1	0	1	0		2	1
Thomas Müller SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		2	1
Sam Adekugbe SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		1	1
Bruno Caicedo SUB	0	0	2	1	0	0		1	1
Yadaly Diaby SUB	0	0	2	0	0	0		1	1
Ranko Veselinovic SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Isaac Boehmer SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Rayan Elloumi SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	1
Sebastián Ramírez SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Nikola Djordjevic SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0

CHI

Chicago Fire FC

Lineup & match stats

Chicago Fire FC Lineup & match stats
Player	G	A	SHOT	SOG	FC	YC	SV	GA	APP
Josh Cohen G Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1
Mbekezeli Mbokazi CD-L Starter	0	0	0	0	0	0		1	1
Jack Elliott CD-R Starter	0	0	2	1	0	0		1	1
Leonardo Barroso LB Starter	0	0	1	1	0	0		1	1
Jonathan Dean RB Starter	0	0	0	0	1	1		1	1
D'Avilla Dje Tah CM-L Starter	0	0	0	0	2	0		1	1
Anton Saletros CM-R Starter	0	1	1	0	0	0		0	1
Jonathan Bamba LM Starter	1	0	2	1	1	0		1	1
Philip Zinckernagel RM Starter	1	0	5	1	2	1		1	1
Maren Haile-Selassie CF-L Starter	1	1	5	2	1	0		1	1
Johan Gómez CF-R Starter	0	0	3	0	1	0		1	1
Puso Dithejane SUB	0	0	1	1	0	0		0	1
David Poreba SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	1
Sergio Oregel SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Mauricio Pineda SUB	0	0	1	0	0	0		1	1
Andrew Gutman SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Robert Lewandowski SUB	0	1	1	0	0	0		0	1
Jeff Gal SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Samual Rogers SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
Andreas Hanche-Olsen SUB	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0