St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks

Final

NHL

STL Team page

2 — 4

CHI Team page

DateOctober 6, 2026

VenueUnited Center

STL 62%

CHI 38%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

STL 62%

Moneyline-148

Profit $100$67.57

EV+3.89%

Outcome lead6.00

LeaderScore9.89

St. Louis is the more likely winner, though Chicago’s home ice keeps this from being a strong mismatch. The Blackhawks have opened 0-3 while scoring just 1.67 goals per game and conceding five, and their 85.4% team save rate points to a major defensive concern. Connor Bedard’s absence further limits Chicago’s offensive ceiling. The Blues are only 1-1 and have scored 2.5 per game, so they have not established reliable scoring either; their power play is also 0-for-6. Still, they have been substantially less porous, and their penalty kill has kept opponents scoreless on eight power-play chances. Chicago can benefit from playing at the United Center, but unless its shot generation and goaltending improve sharply, St. Louis has the clearer path to controlling the game.

Team Form

2026–27 · Recent Games · Regular Season

St. Louis Blues

L L W

Chicago Blackhawks

W L L L

Key Stats

2026–27 · Regular Season

St. Louis Blues

2.33

GOALS/G

3.33

GA/G

25.67

SHOTS/G

9.1%

SHOOTING %

90.0%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

27.33

SA/G

44.6%

FACEOFF %

Chicago Blackhawks

These stats describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

GOALS/G
Goals scored per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more scoring.

GA/G
Goals allowed per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Lower means fewer goals allowed.

SHOTS/G
Shots on goal per game. Higher means more shooting volume.

SHOOTING %
Goals divided by shots on goal, excluding shootout attempts and the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more shots converted into goals.

SAVE %
Goalie saves divided by shots faced. Higher means a greater share of shots stopped.

PP GOALS
Total goals scored on the power play in this period.

SA/G
Opponent shots on goal per game. Lower means fewer shots faced.

FACEOFF %
Faceoffs won divided by faceoffs taken. Higher means more faceoffs won.

2.25

GOALS/G

4.25

GA/G

19.25

SHOTS/G

11.7%

SHOOTING %

87.0%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

SA/G

42.1%

FACEOFF %

Season Context

2026–27 · Regular Season

St. Louis Blues

48.4%

Shot Share

12.5%

Power Play %

90.0%

Penalty Kill %

-3

Goal Diff

Chicago Blackhawks

These measures describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

Shot Share
Shots taken as a share of both teams’ shots. Above 50% means more shots than opponents.

Power Play %
Power-play goals per opportunity. Higher means more successful power plays.

Penalty Kill %
Opponent power-play opportunities without a goal. Higher means more successful penalty kills.

Goal Differential
Total goals scored minus goals allowed in the selected phase, including overtime goals and excluding the deciding shootout goal. Positive means the team outscores opponents; negative means it allows more goals than it scores.

38.3%

Shot Share

11.1%

Power Play %

63.6%

Penalty Kill %

-8

Goal Diff

Key Players

2026–27 · Regular Season

St. Louis Blues

95.5%SV%

Chicago Blackhawks

89.0%SV%

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	Total
STL	1	0	1	2
CHI	0	2	2	4

Team stats

STL Stat CHI

8 BS 13

28 HT 18

3 TK 3

27 S 21

1 PPG 1

2 PPO 2

50.0 PCT 50.0

0 SHG 1

0 SOG 0

31 FW 29

50.0 FO% 46.8

18 GV 17

2 PN 2

4 PIM 4

STL

St. Louis Blues

Defenses

St. Louis Blues Defenses
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	A	S	SM	GV
Philip Broberg D	1	1	1	-2	22:26	0:45	2:28	19:13	24	1	1	0	1
Brandon Carlo D	1	1	0	1	17:58	0:00	1:32	16:26	27	0	1	1	1
Cam Fowler D	1	0	0	-1	23:04	0:16	1:32	21:16	29	0	2	1	1
Adam Jiricek D	1	1	0	-1	18:12	2:44	0:00	15:28	22	0	2	5	1
Theo Lindstein D	0	1	1	0	14:49	0:00	0:00	14:49	21	0	1	0	2
Colton Parayko D	2	0	1	0	20:10	0:14	2:28	17:28	27	0	2	2	1

Forwards

St. Louis Blues Forwards
Player	BS	HT	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM
Jonatan Berggren RW	0	1	0	15:49	0:33	0:00	15:16	19	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.0	0	1	2
Pavel Buchnevich LW	0	1	-1	17:43	0:59	1:55	14:49	24	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.0	0	0	0
Dillon Dube C	0	1	0	10:12	0:00	1:15	8:57	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.0	1	0	0
Dalibor Dvorsky RW	0	1	0	10:51	0:47	0:00	10:04	18	0	2	0	1	0	5	7	41.7	1	0	0
Dylan Holloway LW	0	5	-1	16:03	2:44	0:00	13:19	22	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.0	1	0	0
Ross Johnston LW	1	4	0	7:15	0:00	0:00	7:15	11	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.0	0	1	2
Connor McMichael C	1	0	-2	17:53	1:42	1:00	15:11	23	1	1	1	4	2	1	3	25.0	1	0	0
Mason McTavish C	0	3	-1	17:20	1:01	0:00	16:19	20	1	2	0	2	2	8	5	61.5	0	0	0
Jake Neighbours LW	0	6	-1	15:15	2:44	0:16	12:15	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Jimmy Snuggerud RW	0	1	-1	18:58	2:44	0:00	16:14	22	0	1	0	3	2	0	0	0.0	3	0	0
Pius Suter C	0	1	0	13:18	0:00	1:50	11:28	16	0	1	0	0	1	4	3	57.1	1	0	0
Robert Thomas C	0	0	-2	20:30	2:44	1:44	16:02	25	0	0	0	3	0	13	11	54.2	1	0	0

Goalies

St. Louis Blues Goalies
Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Joel Hofer G	2	19	0	0	17	.895	13	3	1	58:14	0	0

CHI

Chicago Blackhawks

Defenses

Chicago Blackhawks Defenses
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM
Bowen Byram D	1	0	0	1	21:22	3:05	0:12	18:05	27	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Ian Cole D	2	0	1	0	19:38	0:00	2:23	17:15	24	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.0	2	0	0
Wyatt Kaiser D	1	1	0	1	17:57	0:16	1:35	16:06	24	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	2	0	0
Roman Kantserov D	1	1	0	0	20:46	3:03	0:02	17:41	23	0	0	0	2	0	2	3	40.0	1	1	2
Artyom Levshunov D	0	0	1	1	18:00	0:00	0:49	17:11	26	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0.0	3	0	0
Sam Rinzel D	0	1	1	0	17:45	0:57	0:02	16:46	22	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	0.0	1	0	0
Alex Vlasic D	2	0	0	1	21:48	0:00	2:29	19:19	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0.0	0	0	0

Forwards

Chicago Blackhawks Forwards
Player	BS	HT	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM
Tyler Bertuzzi LW	0	2	2	17:49	3:07	0:00	14:42	22	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0.0	2	0	0
Ryan Donato C	2	2	-1	9:27	0:38	0:00	8:49	15	0	1	0	1	4	0	1	0.0	0	0	0
Anton Frondell C	0	1	2	18:37	3:06	1:09	14:22	24	1	1	1	1	1	9	6	60.0	0	0	0
Ryan Greene C	2	1	1	14:02	0:00	1:37	12:25	21	0	0	0	1	1	7	9	43.8	1	0	0
Jordan Greenway LW	0	3	0	12:42	0:00	1:17	11:25	20	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.0	1	0	0
Patrick Kane RW	1	1	0	20:55	3:07	0:00	17:48	23	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	0	1	2
Nick Lardis LW	0	1	-1	9:39	0:53	0:00	8:46	16	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0.0	1	0	0
Oliver Moore C	0	3	-1	12:16	0:53	0:00	11:23	19	0	1	0	0	0	4	3	57.1	0	0	0
Frank Nazar C	1	0	1	19:35	0:55	0:59	17:41	26	1	1	1	3	0	7	10	41.2	1	0	0
Cole Smith RW	0	0	1	14:36	0:00	1:37	12:59	20	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.0	0	0	0
Teuvo Teravainen C	0	1	1	9:31	0:00	0:49	8:42	14	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	1	0	0

Goalies

Chicago Blackhawks Goalies
Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Spencer Knight G	2	27	0	0	25	.926	21	4	0	60:00	0	0