Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens

Final

NHL

CAR Team page

6 — 4

MTL Team page

DateOctober 6, 2026

VenueBell Centre

CAR 53%

MTL 47%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

CAR 53%

Moneyline-130

Profit $100$76.92

EV-6.23%

Outcome lead1.50

LeaderScore-4.73

Carolina gets a very narrow full-game lean, largely because its early shot profile is substantially better: 29.3 shots per game while limiting opponents to 21.7. That territorial advantage and an 18.8% power play give the Hurricanes a plausible route to outperform their modest scoring start. Montreal has been more productive, averaging four goals through two games, and the Bell Centre plus a 2-0 recent home mark are meaningful counterweights. But the Canadiens have also conceded four per game, and their 86.2% save rate leaves little margin if Carolina’s volume persists. Availability is mixed: Carolina is without Seth Jarvis, while Montreal has Kaiden Guhle on IR and Alexandre Carrier day-to-day. Expect a competitive game; home ice and Montreal’s hot scoring make the margin small, but Carolina’s possession and special-teams profile tilt the estimate.

Team Form

2026–27 · Recent Games · Regular Season

Carolina Hurricanes

W W L L

Montreal Canadiens

L L W

Key Stats

2026–27 · Regular Season

Carolina Hurricanes

2.75

GOALS/G

GA/G

30.5

SHOTS/G

9.0%

SHOOTING %

85.9%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

21.25

SA/G

52.1%

FACEOFF %

Montreal Canadiens

These stats describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

GOALS/G
Goals scored per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more scoring.

GA/G
Goals allowed per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Lower means fewer goals allowed.

SHOTS/G
Shots on goal per game. Higher means more shooting volume.

SHOOTING %
Goals divided by shots on goal, excluding shootout attempts and the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more shots converted into goals.

SAVE %
Goalie saves divided by shots faced. Higher means a greater share of shots stopped.

PP GOALS
Total goals scored on the power play in this period.

SA/G
Opponent shots on goal per game. Lower means fewer shots faced.

FACEOFF %
Faceoffs won divided by faceoffs taken. Higher means more faceoffs won.

GOALS/G

4.67

GA/G

SHOTS/G

17.4%

SHOOTING %

85.7%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

30.67

SA/G

54.5%

FACEOFF %

Season Context

2026–27 · Regular Season

Carolina Hurricanes

58.9%

Shot Share

19.0%

Power Play %

89.5%

Penalty Kill %

-1

Goal Diff

Montreal Canadiens

These measures describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

Shot Share
Shots taken as a share of both teams’ shots. Above 50% means more shots than opponents.

Power Play %
Power-play goals per opportunity. Higher means more successful power plays.

Penalty Kill %
Opponent power-play opportunities without a goal. Higher means more successful penalty kills.

Goal Differential
Total goals scored minus goals allowed in the selected phase, including overtime goals and excluding the deciding shootout goal. Positive means the team outscores opponents; negative means it allows more goals than it scores.

42.9%

Shot Share

10.0%

Power Play %

75.0%

Penalty Kill %

-2

Goal Diff

Key Players

2026–27 · Regular Season

Carolina Hurricanes

88.9%SV%

Montreal Canadiens

85.7%SV%

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	Total
CAR	2	2	2	6
MTL	3	0	1	4

Team stats

CAR Stat MTL

9 BS 16

30 HT 20

2 TK 5

34 S 20

1 PPG 1

5 PPO 6

20.0 PCT 16.7

0 SHG 0

0 SOG 0

30 FW 27

52.6 FO% 47.4

15 GV 19

8 PN 7

16 PIM 14

CAR