Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings

Final

NHL

WPG Team page

3 — 2

DET Team page

DateOctober 4, 2026

VenueLittle Caesars Arena

WPG 48%

DET 52%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

DET 52%

Moneyline-115

Profit $100$86.96

EV-2.78%

Outcome lead1.00

LeaderScore-1.78

Detroit gets a narrow home-ice lean, but this looks close rather than a strong call. Winnipeg showed more attacking volume in its opener, putting 33 shots on goal and scoring three, while Detroit managed 22 shots and was held scoreless. That gives the Jets the clearer offensive case. The counterweight is significant: Connor Hellebuyck is on injured reserve, and Stuart Skinner allowed four goals on 30 shots in Winnipeg’s opener. Detroit’s John Gibson posted a .950 save percentage in his first game, and home ice helps, though the Red Wings are also without Dylan Larkin and Marco Kasper, weakening their forward depth. With both teams carrying important absences and their opening performances pointing in different directions, a tight game is likely. Detroit’s venue and goaltending outlook barely tip the balance.

Team Form

2026–27 · Recent Games · Regular Season

Winnipeg Jets

W L

Detroit Red Wings

L L

Key Stats

2026–27 · Regular Season

Winnipeg Jets

GOALS/G

GA/G

SHOTS/G

10.0%

SHOOTING %

90.8%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

32.5

SA/G

44.6%

FACEOFF %

Detroit Red Wings

These stats describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

GOALS/G
Goals scored per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more scoring.

GA/G
Goals allowed per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Lower means fewer goals allowed.

SHOTS/G
Shots on goal per game. Higher means more shooting volume.

SHOOTING %
Goals divided by shots on goal, excluding shootout attempts and the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more shots converted into goals.

SAVE %
Goalie saves divided by shots faced. Higher means a greater share of shots stopped.

PP GOALS
Total goals scored on the power play in this period.

SA/G
Opponent shots on goal per game. Lower means fewer shots faced.

FACEOFF %
Faceoffs won divided by faceoffs taken. Higher means more faceoffs won.

GOALS/G

2.5

GA/G

28.5

SHOTS/G

3.5%

SHOOTING %

91.5%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

SA/G

57.1%

FACEOFF %

Season Context

2026–27 · Regular Season

Winnipeg Jets

48.0%

Shot Share

57.1%

Power Play %

85.7%

Penalty Kill %

Goal Diff

Detroit Red Wings

These measures describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

Shot Share
Shots taken as a share of both teams’ shots. Above 50% means more shots than opponents.

Power Play %
Power-play goals per opportunity. Higher means more successful power plays.

Penalty Kill %
Opponent power-play opportunities without a goal. Higher means more successful penalty kills.

Goal Differential
Total goals scored minus goals allowed in the selected phase, including overtime goals and excluding the deciding shootout goal. Positive means the team outscores opponents; negative means it allows more goals than it scores.

54.3%

Shot Share

14.3%

Power Play %

50.0%

Penalty Kill %

-3

Goal Diff

Key Players

2026–27 · Regular Season

Winnipeg Jets

90.8%SV%

Detroit Red Wings

91.5%SV%

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	Total
WPG	2	1	0	3
DET	0	1	1	2

Team stats

WPG Stat DET

15 BS 11

20 HT 25

2 TK 1

27 S 35

3 PPG 1

4 PPO 5

75.0 PCT 20.0

0 SHG 0

0 SOG 0

22 FW 32

40.7 FO% 59.3

20 GV 10

6 PN 5

15 PIM 13

WPG

Winnipeg Jets

Defenses

Winnipeg Jets Defenses
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	YTDG	A	S	SM	GV	PN	PIM	PPA
Tyrel Bauer D	2	2	0	0	8:35	0:00	0:00	8:35	14	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	0
Dylan DeMelo D	1	1	0	-1	20:51	0:00	3:47	17:04	27	1	0	0	1	2	2	4	0
Mario Ferraro D	0	3	1	0	20:17	0:00	4:33	15:44	24	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0
Josh Morrissey D	2	1	0	0	21:33	3:00	0:33	18:00	27	0	2	7	0	2	0	0	2
Neal Pionk D	4	2	0	-1	23:53	2:05	4:42	17:06	30	0	0	3	1	5	0	0	0
Dylan Samberg D	2	1	0	0	19:50	0:00	4:37	15:13	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Forwards

Winnipeg Jets Forwards
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM	PPG	PPA
Morgan Barron C	0	6	0	0	17:46	0:00	5:26	12:20	28	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Viggo Bjorck C	0	0	0	0	13:21	2:00	1:16	10:05	16	0	0	0	1	0	3	7	30.0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyle Connor LW	0	1	1	-1	20:05	3:07	3:04	13:54	24	2	3	1	5	3	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	2	1
Alex Iafallo LW	3	1	0	0	11:44	0:00	2:46	8:58	18	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Brad Lambert C	0	2	0	0	10:27	0:00	0:00	10:27	16	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
Adam Lowry C	0	0	0	0	15:17	0:00	3:41	11:36	24	0	0	0	0	0	8	11	42.1	1	0	0	0	0
Vladislav Namestnikov C	0	0	0	0	13:09	1:59	1:34	9:36	19	0	0	0	1	0	5	3	62.5	0	2	4	0	0
Nino Niederreiter RW	0	0	0	0	11:15	2:02	0:00	9:13	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
Cole Perfetti C	1	0	0	-1	17:12	3:06	0:00	14:06	20	1	1	2	2	6	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	1	2
Isak Rosen RW	0	0	0	0	12:54	1:57	0:00	10:57	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Mark Scheifele C	0	0	0	-1	18:06	3:05	0:17	14:44	19	0	0	0	2	0	5	7	41.7	1	0	0	0	0
Gabriel Vilardi C	0	0	0	0	14:41	3:04	0:00	11:37	17	0	0	1	2	1	1	2	33.3	0	1	2	0	1

Goalies

Winnipeg Jets Goalies
Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Stuart Skinner G	2	35	0	0	33	.943	24	8	1	60:00	0	0

DET

Detroit Red Wings

Defenses

Detroit Red Wings Defenses
Player	BS	HT	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	A	S	SM	GV	PPA
Ben Chiarot D	1	2	1	17:23	0:00	2:07	15:16	20	0	1	1	0	0
Andreas Englund D	0	3	0	7:15	0:00	0:00	7:15	10	0	0	0	1	0
Justin Faulk D	0	1	0	19:32	2:30	1:26	15:36	26	0	3	1	0	0
Albert Johansson D	1	0	0	12:37	0:00	1:55	10:42	17	0	1	2	0	0
Anton Johansson D	1	2	0	13:30	0:00	1:03	12:27	20	0	0	0	0	0
Axel Sandin-Pellikka D	0	0	1	15:37	2:20	1:44	11:33	19	0	3	0	1	0
Moritz Seider D	4	1	0	25:41	6:35	1:54	17:12	28	1	3	2	1	1

Forwards

Detroit Red Wings Forwards
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM	PPG	PPA
Mason Appleton C	0	2	0	0	9:23	0:00	0:58	8:25	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
Viktor Arvidsson LW	1	1	0	0	21:24	6:23	0:00	15:01	23	1	1	0	3	1	1	1	50.0	1	1	2	1	0
Michael Brandsegg-Nygard RW	0	4	0	1	19:33	2:34	0:00	16:59	21	0	0	1	6	5	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
J.T. Compher LW	0	1	1	0	12:51	0:00	1:44	11:07	17	0	0	0	2	1	3	7	30.0	0	1	2	0	0
Andrew Copp C	0	2	0	0	23:44	6:31	2:23	14:50	24	0	0	1	1	3	16	5	76.2	2	0	0	0	1
Nate Danielson C	0	0	0	0	8:09	0:00	0:28	7:41	12	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	57.1	0	0	0	0	0
Alex DeBrincat RW	2	0	0	1	23:16	6:44	0:00	16:32	24	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
Emmitt Finnie C	0	2	0	1	16:56	1:42	1:15	13:59	20	1	1	0	2	0	8	5	61.5	0	0	0	0	0
Keegan Kolesar RW	0	1	0	0	10:49	0:00	0:31	10:18	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	2	7	0	0
Michael Rasmussen C	1	3	0	0	16:09	2:40	2:25	11:04	20	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
Lucas Raymond LW	0	0	0	0	23:55	7:21	0:27	16:07	24	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0.0	0	1	2	0	0

Goalies

Detroit Red Wings Goalies
Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
John Gibson G	3	27	0	0	24	.889	18	5	1	57:11	0	0

Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings

Winnipeg Jets

Detroit Red Wings

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