Utah Mammoth vs New York Rangers

Final

NHL

UTA Team page

2 — 4

NYR Team page

DateOctober 4, 2026

VenueMadison Square Garden

UTA 52%

NYR 48%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

UTA 52%

Moneyline+105

Profit $100$105.00

EV+6.60%

Outcome lead1.00

LeaderScore7.60

Utah gets a narrow lean after opening with two wins, 10 goals and only one allowed, while tilting play with a 65.6% shot share and converting five of seven power plays. New York is a credible counter: the Rangers are 2-1, have allowed only four goals overall, and recently won 5-1 at home. Igor Shesterkin has stopped 44 of 47 shots in two appearances, a meaningful stabilizer. Utah's exceptional opening numbers are based on just two games, and New York's home advantage narrows the gap. This looks close, with a slight Utah edge rather than a strong separation.

Team Form

2026–27 · Recent Games · Regular Season

Utah Mammoth

L W W

New York Rangers

W W W L

Key Stats

2026–27 · Regular Season

Utah Mammoth

GOALS/G

1.67

GA/G

30.67

SHOTS/G

13.0%

SHOOTING %

92.6%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

18.33

SA/G

54.0%

FACEOFF %

New York Rangers

These stats describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

GOALS/G
Goals scored per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more scoring.

GA/G
Goals allowed per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Lower means fewer goals allowed.

SHOTS/G
Shots on goal per game. Higher means more shooting volume.

SHOOTING %
Goals divided by shots on goal, excluding shootout attempts and the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more shots converted into goals.

SAVE %
Goalie saves divided by shots faced. Higher means a greater share of shots stopped.

PP GOALS
Total goals scored on the power play in this period.

SA/G
Opponent shots on goal per game. Lower means fewer shots faced.

FACEOFF %
Faceoffs won divided by faceoffs taken. Higher means more faceoffs won.

2.75

GOALS/G

1.5

GA/G

SHOTS/G

12.0%

SHOOTING %

94.9%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

24.75

SA/G

52.3%

FACEOFF %

Season Context

2026–27 · Regular Season

Utah Mammoth

62.6%

Shot Share

75.0%

Power Play %

100.0%

Penalty Kill %

Goal Diff

New York Rangers

These measures describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

Shot Share
Shots taken as a share of both teams’ shots. Above 50% means more shots than opponents.

Power Play %
Power-play goals per opportunity. Higher means more successful power plays.

Penalty Kill %
Opponent power-play opportunities without a goal. Higher means more successful penalty kills.

Goal Differential
Total goals scored minus goals allowed in the selected phase, including overtime goals and excluding the deciding shootout goal. Positive means the team outscores opponents; negative means it allows more goals than it scores.

48.2%

Shot Share

18.2%

Power Play %

90.9%

Penalty Kill %

Goal Diff

Key Players

2026–27 · Regular Season

Utah Mammoth

94.4%SV%

New York Rangers

100.0%SV%

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	Total
UTA	0	1	1	2
NYR	1	0	3	4

Team stats

UTA Stat NYR

17 BS 23

29 HT 23

4 TK 3

30 S 22

1 PPG 0

2 PPO 4

50.0 PCT 0.0

0 SHG 0

0 SOG 0

22 FW 26

45.8 FO% 54.2

13 GV 18

7 PN 5

17 PIM 13

UTA

Utah Mammoth

Defenses

Utah Mammoth Defenses
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	S	SM	GV	PN	PIM
John Marino D	2	0	1	-2	21:07	1:21	0:24	19:22	24	0	0	1	1	1	0	0
Andrew Peeke D	0	2	0	0	14:04	0:00	2:26	11:38	22	1	1	3	0	1	0	0
Nate Schmidt D	1	3	0	-2	22:39	0:00	3:28	19:11	28	0	0	3	1	0	0	0
Mikhail Sergachev D	3	0	0	0	23:51	1:07	2:46	19:58	29	0	1	3	0	1	2	4
Dmitri Simashev D	1	2	0	-1	12:45	0:00	1:55	10:50	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
MacKenzie Weegar D	5	6	0	0	22:00	0:00	1:27	20:33	31	0	0	0	2	1	2	4

Forwards

Utah Mammoth Forwards
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM
Daniil But LW	0	1	0	0	10:26	0:38	0:00	9:48	12	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.0	2	0	0
Michael Carcone LW	0	1	0	-1	12:43	0:36	0:00	12:07	15	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Logan Cooley C	0	3	0	-1	18:28	1:50	0:57	15:41	20	0	0	0	0	1	6	6	50.0	0	0	0
Lawson Crouse LW	0	4	1	0	15:20	0:00	2:33	12:47	20	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Dylan Guenther RW	0	0	1	-1	15:45	1:50	0:04	13:51	19	0	3	0	2	1	0	0	0.0	2	0	0
Barrett Hayton C	0	0	0	0	13:18	0:00	0:52	12:26	18	0	0	0	1	0	3	7	30.0	1	1	2
Clayton Keller RW	0	0	0	-2	18:03	1:52	0:03	16:08	22	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0.0	1	0	0
Anders Lee LW	3	0	0	0	12:59	0:38	0:00	12:21	18	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	0.0	1	0	0
Jack McBain C	0	4	0	0	11:14	0:00	0:18	10:56	16	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0.0	0	1	5
Nick Schmaltz C	0	0	1	-3	17:18	1:52	0:54	14:32	23	1	4	0	3	0	0	2	0.0	1	1	2
Kevin Stenlund C	2	0	0	0	13:10	0:00	3:30	9:40	20	0	0	0	0	0	6	5	54.5	0	0	0
Vincent Trocheck C	0	3	0	-3	17:58	0:36	1:56	15:26	25	0	0	0	2	0	7	5	58.3	0	0	0

Goalies

Utah Mammoth Goalies
Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Karel Vejmelka G	3	21	0	0	18	.857	15	2	1	58:40	0	0

NYR

New York Rangers

Defenses

New York Rangers Defenses
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	GV	PN	PIM
Sean Durzi D	3	2	0	1	22:57	1:17	2:01	19:39	25	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0
Adam Fox D	2	2	0	3	21:35	5:06	0:27	16:02	25	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0
Vladislav Gavrikov D	4	1	0	2	19:09	0:06	0:53	18:10	22	1	1	1	3	0	1	0	0
Marcus Pettersson D	2	2	2	1	17:38	0:25	0:28	16:45	21	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2
Braden Schneider D	1	2	0	0	17:42	0:00	1:07	16:35	20	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
Alberts Smits D	2	0	1	-1	16:12	0:12	0:00	16:00	18	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0

Forwards

New York Rangers Forwards
Player	BS	HT	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM
Oliver Bjorkstrand RW	1	1	0	7:49	0:33	0:00	7:16	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Jaroslav Chmelar RW	0	4	0	6:05	0:00	0:00	6:05	8	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Will Cuylle LW	1	1	1	14:06	1:37	0:28	12:01	19	0	0	1	2	0	2	3	40.0	0	4	11
Pavel Dorofeyev RW	0	0	1	17:57	4:43	0:00	13:14	20	0	1	0	3	3	0	0	0.0	1	0	0
Tye Kartye LW	0	2	1	15:18	0:00	1:05	14:13	21	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Noah Laba C	1	2	1	17:37	0:17	0:57	16:23	21	0	0	0	1	0	6	4	60.0	2	0	0
Alexis Lafreniere LW	1	3	1	21:44	4:25	0:00	17:19	22	0	0	1	4	2	1	0	100.0	1	0	0
J.T. Miller LW	1	1	1	20:27	3:57	0:09	16:21	23	1	1	0	1	0	8	8	50.0	2	0	0
Gabe Perreault RW	1	0	1	18:18	1:22	0:00	16:56	23	1	2	0	1	3	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Eeli Tolvanen RW	2	0	1	14:15	0:55	0:39	12:41	18	1	3	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Joe Veleno C	0	0	0	2:13	0:00	0:52	1:21	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0
Mika Zibanejad C	1	0	1	24:32	4:50	0:46	18:56	26	0	1	1	0	1	9	7	56.3	2	0	0

Goalies

New York Rangers Goalies
Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Igor Shesterkin G	2	30	0	0	28	.933	27	1	0	59:58	1	0