Florida Panthers vs Anaheim Ducks

Final

NHL

FLA Team page

2 — 3

ANA Team page

DateOctober 4, 2026

VenueHonda Center

FLA 54%

ANA 46%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

FLA 54%

Moneyline-130

Profit $100$76.92

EV-4.46%

Outcome lead2.00

LeaderScore-2.46

Florida gets a narrow lean, but Anaheim’s home ice and opening win keep this close. The Ducks scored four in a 4-3 victory, though they managed only 20 shots while allowing 30, so Florida may find chances if it sustains pressure. Florida has scored four goals across its first two games and is carrying major absences: Aleksander Barkov and Brad Marchand are on injured reserve, while Gustav Forsling is day-to-day. Anaheim is also missing Troy Terry, reducing some of its offensive support. Those injuries blunt Florida’s personnel advantage, and the Ducks’ home setting gives them a credible path to another win. Still, Florida’s stronger overall roster and Anaheim’s defensive workload make the Panthers marginally more likely to prevail, including if the game extends beyond regulation.

Team Form

2026–27 · Recent Games · Regular Season

Florida Panthers

L L W

Anaheim Ducks

W W

Key Stats

2026–27 · Regular Season

Florida Panthers

GOALS/G

2.33

GA/G

25.67

SHOTS/G

7.8%

SHOOTING %

89.7%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

22.67

SA/G

51.2%

FACEOFF %

Anaheim Ducks

These stats describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

GOALS/G
Goals scored per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more scoring.

GA/G
Goals allowed per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Lower means fewer goals allowed.

SHOTS/G
Shots on goal per game. Higher means more shooting volume.

SHOOTING %
Goals divided by shots on goal, excluding shootout attempts and the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more shots converted into goals.

SAVE %
Goalie saves divided by shots faced. Higher means a greater share of shots stopped.

PP GOALS
Total goals scored on the power play in this period.

SA/G
Opponent shots on goal per game. Lower means fewer shots faced.

FACEOFF %
Faceoffs won divided by faceoffs taken. Higher means more faceoffs won.

3.5

GOALS/G

2.5

GA/G

20.5

SHOTS/G

17.1%

SHOOTING %

91.8%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

30.5

SA/G

43.9%

FACEOFF %

Season Context

2026–27 · Regular Season

Florida Panthers

53.1%

Shot Share

5.9%

Power Play %

71.4%

Penalty Kill %

-1

Goal Diff

Anaheim Ducks

These measures describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

Shot Share
Shots taken as a share of both teams’ shots. Above 50% means more shots than opponents.

Power Play %
Power-play goals per opportunity. Higher means more successful power plays.

Penalty Kill %
Opponent power-play opportunities without a goal. Higher means more successful penalty kills.

Goal Differential
Total goals scored minus goals allowed in the selected phase, including overtime goals and excluding the deciding shootout goal. Positive means the team outscores opponents; negative means it allows more goals than it scores.

40.2%

Shot Share

50.0%

Power Play %

85.7%

Penalty Kill %

Goal Diff

Key Players

2026–27 · Regular Season

Florida Panthers

91.7%SV%

Anaheim Ducks

91.8%SV%

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	OT	Total
FLA	1	0	1	0	2
ANA	1	1	0	1	3

Team stats

FLA Stat ANA

11 BS 20

27 HT 26

5 TK 3

31 S 21

0 PPG 3

4 PPO 4

0.0 PCT 75.0

0 SHG 0

0 SOG 0

32 FW 26

55.2 FO% 44.8

23 GV 14

4 PN 4

8 PIM 8

FLA