Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.
Pregame Pick %
The estimated chance of the selected result.
Moneyline
The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.
Profit $100
Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.
EV (Expected Value)
Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.
Outcome lead
Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.
LeaderScore
EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.
COL 43%
Moneyline-115
Profit $100$86.96
EV-19.61%
Outcome lead3.25
LeaderScore-16.36
Colorado has the stronger overall profile and a meaningful home advantage, so the Rapids get a modest lean. They have won six of 12 league matches, compared with San Jose’s three, while Colorado’s home form has been particularly sturdy: four wins and a draw in its last five at home, with only three goals conceded. San Jose is arriving in better recent form, unbeaten across its last three with six goals scored, but that run came at home. Its away sample over the last 56 days is more restrained—one win, one defeat and two draws—and the season-long 24 goals conceded point to defensive vulnerability. Colorado’s modest scoring rate keeps the draw very live, but home resilience gives it the edge.
These stats describe 2026 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.
GOALS/G Goals scored per game over 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Higher means more scoring.
GA/G Goals allowed per game over 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Lower means fewer goals conceded.
SHOTS/G Shots per game across the full match, including extra time when played. Higher means more shooting volume.
SOT/G Shots on target per game across the full match, including extra time when played. Higher means more attempts on target.
SHOT ACCURACY% Shots on target divided by total shots across the full match. Higher means more accurate shooting.
POSSESSION % Average possession percentage across full matches. Above 50% means more possession than opponents on average; it does not by itself mean better chances.
PASS % Completed passes divided by attempted passes across full matches. Higher means more accurate passing.
CORNERS/G Corner kicks per game across full matches. Higher means more corner opportunities.
1.08
GOALS/G
1.17
GA/G
13.67
SHOTS/G
3.92
SOT/G
28.7%
SHOT ACCURACY%
54.3%
POSSESSION %
86.6%
PASS %
5.08
CORNERS/G
Season Context
2026 · Regular Season
San Jose Earthquakes
-0.67
Shot Differential
Colorado Rapids
?
These measures describe 2026 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.
Shot Differential Shots on target minus opponents’ shots on target per game. Positive means more shots on target.
