New York Islanders vs New York Rangers

Final

NHL

NYI Team page

2 — 5

NYR Team page

DateOctober 6, 2026

VenueMadison Square Garden

NYI 45%

NYR 55%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

NYR 55%

Moneyline-162

Profit $100$61.73

EV-11.05%

Outcome lead2.50

LeaderScore-8.55

New York has a modest edge at Madison Square Garden: the Rangers are 3-1 with 11 goals scored and six allowed, and they have won both of their recent home games. That points to the steadier start and gives the home side a narrow advantage, but not a commanding one. The Islanders are 1-1 and showed an impressive ceiling with a 6-0 shutout of New Jersey. Ilya Sorokin has stopped 61 of 63 shots so far, a major reason this can remain close even if the Rangers generate pressure. Mathew Barzal’s injured-reserve absence takes an important creator out of the Islanders’ lineup. Overall, home advantage and better early consistency favor the Rangers slightly, while Sorokin’s form leaves the Islanders very much in contention in a game that could stay tight into extra time.

Team Form

2026–27 · Recent Games · Regular Season

New York Islanders

L W L

New York Rangers

W W W W L

Key Stats

2026–27 · Regular Season

New York Islanders

GOALS/G

2.33

GA/G

SHOTS/G

11.5%

SHOOTING %

94.1%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

SA/G

48.5%

FACEOFF %

New York Rangers

These stats describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

GOALS/G
Goals scored per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more scoring.

GA/G
Goals allowed per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Lower means fewer goals allowed.

SHOTS/G
Shots on goal per game. Higher means more shooting volume.

SHOOTING %
Goals divided by shots on goal, excluding shootout attempts and the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more shots converted into goals.

SAVE %
Goalie saves divided by shots faced. Higher means a greater share of shots stopped.

PP GOALS
Total goals scored on the power play in this period.

SA/G
Opponent shots on goal per game. Lower means fewer shots faced.

FACEOFF %
Faceoffs won divided by faceoffs taken. Higher means more faceoffs won.

3.2

GOALS/G

1.6

GA/G

23.2

SHOTS/G

13.8%

SHOOTING %

94.1%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

23.8

SA/G

52.1%

FACEOFF %

Season Context

2026–27 · Regular Season

New York Islanders

47.3%

Shot Share

18.2%

Power Play %

83.3%

Penalty Kill %

Goal Diff

New York Rangers

These measures describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

Shot Share
Shots taken as a share of both teams’ shots. Above 50% means more shots than opponents.

Power Play %
Power-play goals per opportunity. Higher means more successful power plays.

Penalty Kill %
Opponent power-play opportunities without a goal. Higher means more successful penalty kills.

Goal Differential
Total goals scored minus goals allowed in the selected phase, including overtime goals and excluding the deciding shootout goal. Positive means the team outscores opponents; negative means it allows more goals than it scores.

49.4%

Shot Share

21.4%

Power Play %

87.5%

Penalty Kill %

Goal Diff

Key Players

2026–27 · Regular Season

New York Islanders

96.8%SV%

New York Rangers

100.0%SV%

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	Total
NYI	0	2	0	2
NYR	1	2	2	5

Team stats

NYI Stat NYR

14 BS 14

18 HT 27

2 TK 6

19 S 24

1 PPG 1

4 PPO 3

25.0 PCT 33.3

0 SHG 0

0 SOG 0

32 FW 34

48.5 FO% 51.5

12 GV 13

6 PN 7

18 PIM 20

NYI