Utah Mammoth vs New Jersey Devils

Final

NHL

UTA Team page

5 — 3

NJ Team page

DateOctober 6, 2026

VenuePrudential Center

UTA 54%

NJ 46%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

UTA 54%

Moneyline+105

Profit $100$105.00

EV+10.70%

Outcome lead2.00

LeaderScore12.70

Utah gets a narrow lean after a markedly stronger opening stretch: the Mammoth have scored 12 and conceded five in three games, while controlling 62.8% of shots and converting six of nine power plays. That combination gives them multiple paths to win, though the early shooting and special-teams rates may cool. New Jersey’s two-game line is much rougher at three goals scored and eight allowed, but the Devils have generated 40.5 shots per game, so their attack looks more capable than the scoring totals suggest. Prudential Center and a 3-0 home record over the last 28 days help New Jersey, and the Devils have had more rest. Utah’s stronger defensive start and the four listed New Jersey absences tilt me slightly toward the visitors, not enough to call this comfortable.

Team Form

2026–27 · Recent Games · Regular Season

Utah Mammoth

W L W W

New Jersey Devils

L L W

Key Stats

2026–27 · Regular Season

Utah Mammoth

4.25

GOALS/G

GA/G

31.25

SHOTS/G

13.6%

SHOOTING %

92.0%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

SA/G

53.2%

FACEOFF %

New Jersey Devils

These stats describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

GOALS/G
Goals scored per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more scoring.

GA/G
Goals allowed per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Lower means fewer goals allowed.

SHOTS/G
Shots on goal per game. Higher means more shooting volume.

SHOOTING %
Goals divided by shots on goal, excluding shootout attempts and the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more shots converted into goals.

SAVE %
Goalie saves divided by shots faced. Higher means a greater share of shots stopped.

PP GOALS
Total goals scored on the power play in this period.

SA/G
Opponent shots on goal per game. Lower means fewer shots faced.

FACEOFF %
Faceoffs won divided by faceoffs taken. Higher means more faceoffs won.

GOALS/G

4.33

GA/G

SHOTS/G

5.3%

SHOOTING %

85.4%

SAVE %

PP GOALS

29.67

SA/G

47.5%

FACEOFF %

Season Context

2026–27 · Regular Season

Utah Mammoth

58.7%

Shot Share

61.5%

Power Play %

92.9%

Penalty Kill %

Goal Diff

New Jersey Devils

These measures describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

Shot Share
Shots taken as a share of both teams’ shots. Above 50% means more shots than opponents.

Power Play %
Power-play goals per opportunity. Higher means more successful power plays.

Penalty Kill %
Opponent power-play opportunities without a goal. Higher means more successful penalty kills.

Goal Differential
Total goals scored minus goals allowed in the selected phase, including overtime goals and excluding the deciding shootout goal. Positive means the team outscores opponents; negative means it allows more goals than it scores.

56.2%

Shot Share

7.1%

Power Play %

62.5%

Penalty Kill %

-7

Goal Diff

Key Players

2026–27 · Regular Season

Utah Mammoth

94.4%SV%

New Jersey Devils

87.7%SV%

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	Total
UTA	1	3	1	5
NJ	1	1	1	3

Team stats

UTA Stat NJ

22 BS 14

24 HT 10

3 TK 5

32 S 33

2 PPG 1

4 PPO 5

50.0 PCT 20.0

0 SHG 0

0 SOG 0

36 FW 34

51.4 FO% 48.6

24 GV 22

6 PN 5

15 PIM 13

UTA

Utah Mammoth

Defenses

Utah Mammoth Defenses
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	GV	PN	PIM	PPA
John Marino D	0	0	1	0	19:13	2:30	0:18	16:25	29	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0
Andrew Peeke D	5	0	0	0	17:00	0:00	4:03	12:57	25	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
Nate Schmidt D	2	2	0	0	23:27	0:00	4:06	19:21	35	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	0
Mikhail Sergachev D	0	0	0	0	15:04	4:32	3:47	6:45	21	0	1	3	2	0	2	0	0	2
Dmitri Simashev D	1	3	0	1	18:22	0:00	0:43	17:39	27	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0
MacKenzie Weegar D	7	2	0	1	20:17	0:00	2:29	17:48	33	1	1	0	3	0	0	3	6	0

Forwards

Utah Mammoth Forwards
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM	PPG	PPA
Daniil But LW	0	1	1	0	10:56	0:30	0:00	10:26	15	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Carcone LW	0	2	0	0	10:50	0:30	0:00	10:20	15	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Logan Cooley C	2	1	0	0	18:52	6:26	1:23	11:03	22	0	0	1	1	2	8	7	53.3	2	0	0	0	1
Lawson Crouse LW	0	2	0	1	15:31	0:00	3:06	12:25	23	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.0	3	1	2	0	0
Dylan Guenther RW	0	1	0	0	17:31	6:32	0:00	10:59	21	0	3	1	5	3	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	1
Barrett Hayton C	0	0	0	1	12:37	0:00	1:18	11:19	21	0	0	1	2	1	4	9	30.8	2	0	0	0	0
Clayton Keller RW	0	1	0	0	18:18	6:32	0:00	11:46	20	1	1	1	3	2	0	0	0.0	2	0	0	1	0
Anders Lee LW	0	1	1	1	10:49	0:36	0:00	10:13	19	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
Jack McBain C	2	3	0	0	13:12	0:00	1:36	11:36	19	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	66.7	1	1	5	0	0
Nick Schmaltz C	0	2	0	1	19:47	6:32	1:37	11:38	24	1	5	2	4	1	1	6	14.3	0	0	0	1	0
Kevin Stenlund C	2	1	0	-1	15:44	0:00	4:03	11:41	23	0	0	0	1	1	8	7	53.3	3	0	0	0	0
Vincent Trocheck C	1	2	0	0	14:44	0:30	2:01	12:13	25	1	1	0	1	0	13	4	76.5	0	0	0	0	0

Goalies

Utah Mammoth Goalies
Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Karel Vejmelka G	3	33	0	0	30	.909	22	8	0	59:46	0	0

New Jersey Devils

Defenses

New Jersey Devils Defenses
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	YTDG	A	S	SM	GV	PN	PIM
Declan Chisholm D	2	0	1	1	15:06	0:00	1:32	13:34	19	0	1	0	1	4	0	0
Brenden Dillon D	0	2	0	0	11:51	0:00	1:54	9:57	16	0	0	0	0	1	3	9
Dougie Hamilton D	2	2	1	-1	22:44	2:18	4:11	16:15	27	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
Luke Hughes D	0	0	1	-1	26:13	5:25	0:57	19:51	25	1	0	3	1	3	0	0
Brett Pesce D	2	0	0	0	20:57	0:13	2:16	18:28	25	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
Jonas Siegenthaler D	1	0	0	-1	14:53	0:00	3:15	11:38	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	0

Forwards

New Jersey Devils Forwards
Player	BS	HT	TK	+/-	TOI	PPTOI	SHTOI	ESTOI	SHFT	G	YTDG	A	S	SM	FW	FL	FO%	GV	PN	PIM	PPG	PPA
Jesper Boqvist C	0	1	0	0	9:49	0:00	0:00	9:49	15	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
Jesper Bratt LW	0	1	0	-2	18:59	5:04	0:00	13:55	20	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	1
Luke Evangelista RW	1	0	0	1	18:18	4:44	0:00	13:34	19	2	2	0	2	1	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	1	0
Cody Glass C	0	0	0	0	12:23	0:00	2:45	9:38	18	0	0	0	0	1	11	6	64.7	0	0	0	0	0
Arseny Gritsyuk RW	0	1	0	0	11:48	2:17	0:00	9:31	14	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	2	0	0	0	0
Nico Hischier C	2	0	1	0	23:08	4:41	4:21	14:06	23	0	0	0	0	1	16	13	55.2	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Hughes C	1	0	0	-2	21:32	5:24	0:00	16:08	20	0	1	1	6	1	3	7	30.0	3	0	0	0	1
Amadeus Lombardi C	0	1	0	0	10:12	0:13	0:00	9:59	16	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Anthony Mantha RW	0	0	0	-1	12:28	2:48	0:00	9:40	17	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0.0	1	0	0	0	0
Timo Meier RW	2	0	0	1	18:14	3:52	0:00	14:22	21	0	0	1	7	1	0	1	0.0	0	2	4	0	0
Dawson Mercer C	1	0	1	0	11:04	0:00	2:40	8:24	16	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Rodrigues C	0	2	0	0	15:50	2:45	4:17	8:48	17	0	0	0	0	0	4	8	33.3	3	0	0	0	0

Goalies

New Jersey Devils Goalies
Player	GA	SA	SOS	SOSA	SV	SV%	ESSV	PPSV	SHSV	TOI	YTDG	PIM
Jake Allen G	5	32	0	0	27	.844	19	8	0	57:29	0	0