Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.
Pregame Pick %
The estimated chance of the selected result.
Moneyline
The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.
Profit $100
Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.
EV (Expected Value)
Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.
Outcome lead
Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.
LeaderScore
EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.
SD 38%
Moneyline+140
Profit $100$140.00
EV-8.80%
Outcome lead1.50
LeaderScore-7.30
San Diego has the stronger season profile: its 4-5-3 record and 17 goals compare favorably with New York's 3-7-2 record and nine goals, while its goal differential is also less negative. That advantage is tempered by San Diego's recent defensive wobble: it conceded 10 goals across its last three matches, despite scoring five and drawing twice. New York won two of its last three, but managed just two goals across that span; its season scoring rate remains a concern. The home setting gives RBNY a boost, though its recent results at home have been poor. I lean toward San Diego, but the visitors' defensive issues and New York's home advantage leave a close contest, with a draw also very plausible.
These stats describe 2026 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.
GOALS/G Goals scored per game over 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Higher means more scoring.
GA/G Goals allowed per game over 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Lower means fewer goals conceded.
SHOTS/G Shots per game across the full match, including extra time when played. Higher means more shooting volume.
SOT/G Shots on target per game across the full match, including extra time when played. Higher means more attempts on target.
SHOT ACCURACY% Shots on target divided by total shots across the full match. Higher means more accurate shooting.
POSSESSION % Average possession percentage across full matches. Above 50% means more possession than opponents on average; it does not by itself mean better chances.
PASS % Completed passes divided by attempted passes across full matches. Higher means more accurate passing.
CORNERS/G Corner kicks per game across full matches. Higher means more corner opportunities.
0.75
GOALS/G
1.58
GA/G
12.5
SHOTS/G
4
SOT/G
32.0%
SHOT ACCURACY%
51.6%
POSSESSION %
84.9%
PASS %
5.17
CORNERS/G
Season Context
2026 · Regular Season
San Diego FC
-0.42
Shot Differential
Red Bull New York
?
These measures describe 2026 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.
Shot Differential Shots on target minus opponents’ shots on target per game. Positive means more shots on target.
