Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.
Pregame Pick %
The estimated chance of the selected result.
Moneyline
The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.
Profit $100
Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.
EV (Expected Value)
Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.
Outcome lead
Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.
LeaderScore
EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.
BOS 67%
Moneyline-135
Profit $100$74.07
EV+16.63%
Outcome lead8.50
LeaderScore25.13
Boston is the stronger full-game pick, especially at TD Garden, where the Bruins have gone 4-1 over their last five and averaged 3.4 goals while allowing 1.6. Their recent goaltending has also been strong: Jeremy Swayman posted a .932 save percentage across four appearances. Philadelphia’s early-season output has been far weaker, at just 1.2 goals per game on 21 shots, while allowing 3.8 per game. Joseph Woll’s .927 save percentage in the recent sample gives the Flyers a chance to stay close, but their lack of scoring leaves little margin for error. Charlie McAvoy’s suspension is a significant defensive loss for Boston and keeps this from being a runaway. Still, home form, better defensive results and the stronger scoring profile make the Bruins the preferred outcome.
These stats describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.
GOALS/G Goals scored per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more scoring.
GA/G Goals allowed per game, excluding the deciding shootout goal. Lower means fewer goals allowed.
SHOTS/G Shots on goal per game. Higher means more shooting volume.
SHOOTING % Goals divided by shots on goal, excluding shootout attempts and the deciding shootout goal. Higher means more shots converted into goals.
SAVE % Goalie saves divided by shots faced. Higher means a greater share of shots stopped.
PP GOALS Total goals scored on the power play in this period.
SA/G Opponent shots on goal per game. Lower means fewer shots faced.
FACEOFF % Faceoffs won divided by faceoffs taken. Higher means more faceoffs won.
3
GOALS/G
2.4
GA/G
24.2
SHOTS/G
12.4%
SHOOTING %
92.5%
SAVE %
3
PP GOALS
29.6
SA/G
49.5%
FACEOFF %
Season Context
2026–27 · Regular Season
Philadelphia Flyers
36.3%
Shot Share
6.7%
Power Play %
75.0%
Penalty Kill %
-13
Goal Diff
Boston Bruins
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These measures describe 2026–27 · Regular Season. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.
Shot Share Shots taken as a share of both teams’ shots. Above 50% means more shots than opponents.
Power Play % Power-play goals per opportunity. Higher means more successful power plays.
Penalty Kill % Opponent power-play opportunities without a goal. Higher means more successful penalty kills.
Goal Differential Total goals scored minus goals allowed in the selected phase, including overtime goals and excluding the deciding shootout goal. Positive means the team outscores opponents; negative means it allows more goals than it scores.
