Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.
Pregame Pick %
The estimated chance of the selected result.
Moneyline
The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.
Profit $100
Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.
EV (Expected Value)
Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.
Outcome lead
Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.
LeaderScore
EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.
CLE 57%
Moneyline-137
Profit $100$72.99
EV-1.39%
Outcome lead3.50
LeaderScore2.11
Cleveland gets a narrow edge in this winner-take-all game at Progressive Field after its six-run sixth-inning rally turned Game 4 into a 9-5 win and reset the series. The starting matchup is close: Sean Burke has shown strong recent run prevention and strikeout ability, while Gavin Williams has also missed bats in the postseason and offers high-end velocity. The separator is more likely to be the relief corps and setting. Chicago’s bullpen has allowed runs at a much higher rate over the recent playoff sample, whereas Cleveland’s relievers have been more effective and could protect a lead late. The Guardians’ home advantage and current momentum matter, but Chicago’s capable starter and ability to produce offense keep this from being a confident call. Lean Cleveland in a competitive game, with extra innings a live possibility.
These stats describe 2026 · Postseason. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.
AVG Hits divided by at-bats. Higher means more hits per at-bat.
OBP Times reaching base by a hit, walk or hit-by-pitch divided by at-bats, walks, hit-by-pitches and sacrifice flies. Higher means reaching base more often.
OPS On-base percentage plus slugging percentage. Higher means stronger combined on-base production and power.
HR Total home runs in this period.
ERA Earned runs allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower means fewer earned runs allowed.
WHIP Walks plus hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower means fewer of these baserunners allowed.
R/G Runs scored per game. Higher means more scoring.
K/9 Pitching strikeouts per nine innings. Higher means more strikeouts at the same pitching workload.
.214
AVG
.344
OBP
.687
OPS
2
HR
3.75
ERA
1.25
WHIP
5.25
R/G
13.5
K/9
Season Context
2026 · Postseason
Chicago White Sox
.325
SLG
99.1%
Fielding %
0.17
Run Diff
89.83
Exit Velocity
38.7%
Hard-Hit %
Cleveland Guardians
?
These measures describe 2026 · Postseason. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.
SLG Total bases per at-bat. Higher means more power.
Fielding % Putouts plus assists divided by fielding chances. Higher means fewer errors per chance.
Run Differential Runs scored minus runs allowed per game. Positive means the team outscores opponents.
Exit Velocity Average speed in mph of measured balls in play. Higher speeds describe harder contact, not guaranteed hits.
Hard-Hit % Share of measured balls in play hit at least 95 mph. Higher percentages mean more hard contact.
