Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves

Final

MLB

LAD Team page

4 — 1

ATL Team page

DateOctober 7, 2026

VenueTruist Park

LAD 54%

ATL 46%

Pick rating

🥇 Gold Pick

Requires at least 55% selected-outcome probability, +1.5% EV and a LeaderScore of 10.

Pregame Pick %

The estimated chance of the selected result.

Moneyline

The last pregame price for that result. Compare it with the pick's probability to understand value.

Profit $100

Net profit if a $100 stake wins at that price; a loss would cost the $100 stake.

EV (Expected Value)

Estimated average net return per $100 from the pick's probability and moneyline. Positive EV means the price is favorable under this estimate; negative EV means it is not.

Outcome lead

Up to 15 points for the probability gap over the next most likely result. Near zero means the outcomes are close; a higher number means a clearer pick.

LeaderScore

EV% plus Outcome lead. Higher scores appear first in Picks. A negative score means unfavorable EV outweighs the outcome lead; it does not mean the pick cannot win.

LAD 54%

Moneyline-156

Profit $100$64.10

EV-11.38%

Outcome lead2.00

LeaderScore-9.38

Los Angeles gets only a slight lean in a matchup that looks close. The Dodgers have been substantially better over the past four weeks, scoring 4.85 runs per game while allowing 2.45, and their relief staff has posted a 2.62 ERA over that span. Glasnow brings considerable strikeout potential, but his 4.96 ERA across 16⅓ innings in that window leaves room for Atlanta to pressure him. Mahle counters with a strong recent profile: a 2.88 ERA over 25 innings in his last four starts. Atlanta also has home-field advantage. The Dodgers’ stronger recent results and bullpen balance just offset those Atlanta strengths, so there is no clear separation between the teams.

Team Form

2026 · Recent Games · Postseason

Los Angeles Dodgers

W W L W W W W L L W

Atlanta Braves

L L W L W L W L W L

Key Stats

2026 · Postseason

Los Angeles Dodgers

.203

AVG

.264

OBP

.655

OPS

ERA

WHIP

3.5

R/G

9.75

K/9

Atlanta Braves

These stats describe 2026 · Postseason. Per-game values are averages; totals cover that period.

AVG
Hits divided by at-bats. Higher means more hits per at-bat.

OBP
Times reaching base by a hit, walk or hit-by-pitch divided by at-bats, walks, hit-by-pitches and sacrifice flies. Higher means reaching base more often.

OPS
On-base percentage plus slugging percentage. Higher means stronger combined on-base production and power.

HR
Total home runs in this period.

ERA
Earned runs allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower means fewer earned runs allowed.

WHIP
Walks plus hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower means fewer of these baserunners allowed.

R/G
Runs scored per game. Higher means more scoring.

K/9
Pitching strikeouts per nine innings. Higher means more strikeouts at the same pitching workload.

.183

AVG

.294

OBP

.609

OPS

3.14

ERA

1.05

WHIP

3.14

R/G

8.57

K/9

Season Context

2026 · Postseason

Los Angeles Dodgers

.391

SLG

100.0%

Fielding %

1.5

Run Diff

91.26

Exit Velocity

42.3%

Hard-Hit %

Atlanta Braves

These measures describe 2026 · Postseason. Compare like periods; they are sporting measures, not predicted outcomes.

SLG
Total bases per at-bat. Higher means more power.

Fielding %
Putouts plus assists divided by fielding chances. Higher means fewer errors per chance.

Run Differential
Runs scored minus runs allowed per game. Positive means the team outscores opponents.

Exit Velocity
Average speed in mph of measured balls in play. Higher speeds describe harder contact, not guaranteed hits.

Hard-Hit %
Share of measured balls in play hit at least 95 mph. Higher percentages mean more hard contact.

.315

SLG

98.4%

Fielding %

-0.14

Run Diff

88.31

Exit Velocity

40.2%

Hard-Hit %

Key Players

2026 · Postseason

Los Angeles Dodgers

1.250OPS

1.020OPS

.908OPS

Atlanta Braves

1.115OPS

1.067OPS

.933OPS

4.26ERA

Boxscore

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Total
LAD	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	4
ATL	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

Team stats

LAD Stat ATL

4 R 1

5 H 3

0 E 2

1 HR 0

3 BB 5

5 SO 8

8 LOB 14

1 SB 1

1 ER 3

0 DP 0

LAD